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Exercise : Monitor for Africa Refuge Information Requirements

19 hours ago
3 min read

Situation


Ethiopia


"...In September 2026, seven Ethiopian armed and rebel groups formed a new coalition called the Alliance for Survival (Tsimdo) to oppose the federal government led by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed..."

source: bbc


Sudan


Severe insecurity in Sudan is concentrated across Greater Darfur, Greater Kordofan, Khartoum, and parts of the Central Region, driven by the ongoing civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). [1, 2]


source: google.com

Most Insecure Regions and Hotspots


  • Greater Darfur: Features intense fighting, sieges, and ethnically motivated attacks—particularly centered around El Fasher in North Darfur, which has experienced famine conditions and heavy drone and artillery strikes. [1, 2, 3]


  • Greater Kordofan: North, South, and West Kordofan face surging violence, armed drone attacks, and acute food insecurity, with areas like Kadugli facing severe phase-5 famine conditions. [1, 2]


  • Khartoum & Central Region: The capital and surrounding areas remain a core frontline of urban warfare, airstrikes, and systemic infrastructure destruction. [1, 2]


Relatively Safer / Lower-Risk Areas


  • Regions such as Port Sudan (Red Sea State), Kassala, Northern State, River Nile, and Gedaref experience a lower risk of direct indiscriminate combat, though movement is heavily constrained, and they face severe pressure from housing and supporting millions of internally displaced persons. [1, 2]


Humanitarian Impact


  • Displacement: Over 11 to 14 million people are forcibly displaced internally or across borders into neighboring countries like Chad, South Sudan, and Egypt. [1, 2, 3]


  • Food & Health Crisis: Nearly 20 million people face acute hunger, with systemic attacks on hospitals and localized famine conditions reported by the World Food Programme and MSF UK. [1, 2]


source: google.com



-> NEED to monitor for elevated levels of personnel affected by the displacement who may require security advisement while visiting the local area...


...aye...

...got that in good man...

...now we do have one...

...

....and i...

...we...

...come on...now...

...in...

...mmmn...

....owh...!...

...ohh....!...




ADDENDUM


Anti-Corruption Status


Ethiopia faces significant and widespread challenges with public-sector corruption, though the government also periodically runs anti-corruption crackdowns and campaigns.


Key Indicators and Metrics

  • Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI): According to Transparency International, Ethiopia scored 38 out of 100 and ranked 96th out of 182 countries assessed.


...and with that new airport...!?...

...airline upgrade...!...

...and [ mega water dam infrastructure build complete ]...!...

..

"...The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) creates a massive new reservoir on the Blue Nile that floods approximately 1,874 km² at normal pool elevation

—cost over US$5 billion and was officially inaugurated on September 9, 2025. [1, 2]


Key Details of the Investment and Financing

  • Self-Financed Model: Unlike most large African infrastructure projects backed by Western or multilateral lenders (such as the World Bank or IMF, which declined to fund the project due to regional disputes with Egypt and Sudan), over 90% of the GERD was funded domestically. [1, 2, 3]

  • Domestic Contributions: The Ethiopian government combined direct budget allocations with national fundraising campaigns, including government bonds (Millennium Dam Bonds), public lotteries, diaspora remittances, and mandatory or voluntary salary contributions from civil servants, teachers, and soldiers. [1, 2, 3, 4]

  • Capacity and Scale: The dam features an installed capacity of 5,150 megawatts (MW), making it the largest hydroelectric power plant in Africa. [1, 2]

  • Strategic Goals: The investment is designed to achieve national energy independence, drive industrial growth, and supply electricity to a large portion of Ethiopia's population. [1, 2]

  • Regional Tensions: The exclusive domestic funding and unilateral construction intensified long-standing geopolitical friction with downstream Nile users Egypt and Sudan, who raised concerns over water security and historic allocation treaties. [1, 2..."


source: google.com


...now that could be in money laundering...!...

....mmmm.../....hmmmm.... ... ...!...

....ehhh...!?...

...

...mmm...!...

...

...easy for you to criticise...!!...

...now come on down and see...

...we do good...

...and not good...

...now where [ is ] the line...!?...

...

...owhhh...!...

...

...mmm...!...


  • Public Perception: Surveys by Afrobarometer indicate that a majority of citizens view corruption as rising in local administration, the courts, tax offices, and licensing services, with high numbers reporting fear of retaliation when speaking out.


  • Institutional Vulnerabilities: Reports from international bodies and the Ethiopian Federal Auditor General note frequent financial mismanagement, non-transparent public procurement, and bribery risks within customs, land administration, and state-owned enterprises

    .

    Government Actions


  • Crackdowns and Investigations: Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration has launched multiple anti-corruption initiatives, arresting or investigating various officials and private actors involved in illegal trade, fuel and mining supply chains, and public procurement fraud (such as high-profile fertilizer and infrastructure contract cases).


  • Enforcement Gaps: Critics, civil society groups, and parliamentary members argue that while official anti-corruption laws and institutional bodies exist (such as the Federal Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission), enforcement remains inconsistent, and political patronage or the rotation of officials often hampers deep accountability.


- source: google.com


 
 
 

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